A systematic review of test accuracy studies evaluating molecular micro-satellite instability testing for the detection of individuals with lynch syndrome

colorectal cancer
diagnostic testing
genetic testing
Lynch syndrome
systematic review
Authors

Coelho, H.

Jones-Hughes, T.

Snowsill, T.

Briscoe, S.

Huxley, N.

Frayling, I. M.

Hyde, C.

Published

Dec 2017

Abstract

BACKGROUND: A systematic review was conducted to assess the diagnostic test accuracy of polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-based microsatellite instability (MSI) testing for identifying Lynch syndrome in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). Unlike previous reviews, this was based on assessing MSI testing against best practice for the reference standard, and included CRC populations that were unselected, age-limited or high-risk for Lynch syndrome. METHODS: Single- and two-gate diagnostic test accuracy studies, or similar, were identified, assessed for inclusion, data extracted and quality appraised by two reviewers according to a pre-specified protocol. Sensitivity of MSI testing was estimated for all included studies. Specificity, likelihood ratios and predictive values were estimated for studies that were not based on high-risk samples. Narrative synthesis was conducted. RESULTS: Nine study samples were included. When MSI-Low results were considered to be negative, sensitivity estimates ranged from 67% (95% CI 47, 83) to 100% (95% CI 94, 100). Three studies contributed to estimates of both sensitivity and specificity, with specificity ranging from 61% (95% CI 57, 65), to 93% (95% CI 89, 95). Good sensitivity was achieved at the expense of specificity. When MSI-L was considered to be positive (effectively lowering the threshold for a positive index test result) sensitivity increased and specificity decreased. Between-study heterogeneity in both the MSI and reference standard testing, combined with the low number of studies contributing to both sensitivity and specificity estimates, precluded pooling by meta-analysis. CONCLUSIONS: MSI testing is an effective screening test for Lynch syndrome. However, there is significant uncertainty surrounding what balance of sensitivity and specificity will be achieved in clinical practice and how this relates to specific characteristics of the test (such as the panel of markers used or the thresholds used to denote a positive test).

Citation

BibTeX citation:
@article{h.2017,
  author = {Coelho, H. and Jones-Hughes, T. and Snowsill, T. and
    Briscoe, S. and Huxley, N. and Frayling, I. M. and Hyde, C.},
  title = {A Systematic Review of Test Accuracy Studies Evaluating
    Molecular Micro-Satellite Instability Testing for the Detection of
    Individuals with Lynch Syndrome},
  journal = {BMC Cancer},
  volume = {17},
  number = {836},
  date = {2017-12-01},
  url = {https://tristansnowsill.co.uk/a-systematic-review-of-test-accuracy-studies-evaluating.html},
  doi = {10.1186/s12885-017-3820-5},
  langid = {en},
  abstract = {BACKGROUND: A systematic review was conducted to assess
    the diagnostic test accuracy of polymerase chain reaction
    (PCR)-based microsatellite instability (MSI) testing for identifying
    Lynch syndrome in patients with colorectal cancer (CRC). Unlike
    previous reviews, this was based on assessing MSI testing against
    best practice for the reference standard, and included CRC
    populations that were unselected, age-limited or high-risk for Lynch
    syndrome. METHODS: Single- and two-gate diagnostic test accuracy
    studies, or similar, were identified, assessed for inclusion, data
    extracted and quality appraised by two reviewers according to a
    pre-specified protocol. Sensitivity of MSI testing was estimated for
    all included studies. Specificity, likelihood ratios and predictive
    values were estimated for studies that were not based on high-risk
    samples. Narrative synthesis was conducted. RESULTS: Nine study
    samples were included. When MSI-Low results were considered to be
    negative, sensitivity estimates ranged from 67\% (95\% CI 47, 83) to
    100\% (95\% CI 94, 100). Three studies contributed to estimates of
    both sensitivity and specificity, with specificity ranging from 61\%
    (95\% CI 57, 65), to 93\% (95\% CI 89, 95). Good sensitivity was
    achieved at the expense of specificity. When MSI-L was considered to
    be positive (effectively lowering the threshold for a positive index
    test result) sensitivity increased and specificity decreased.
    Between-study heterogeneity in both the MSI and reference standard
    testing, combined with the low number of studies contributing to
    both sensitivity and specificity estimates, precluded pooling by
    meta-analysis. CONCLUSIONS: MSI testing is an effective screening
    test for Lynch syndrome. However, there is significant uncertainty
    surrounding what balance of sensitivity and specificity will be
    achieved in clinical practice and how this relates to specific
    characteristics of the test (such as the panel of markers used or
    the thresholds used to denote a positive test).}
}
For attribution, please cite this work as:
Coelho, H., Jones-Hughes, T., Snowsill, T., Briscoe, S., Huxley, N., Frayling, I. M., and Hyde, C. 2017. “A Systematic Review of Test Accuracy Studies Evaluating Molecular Micro-Satellite Instability Testing for the Detection of Individuals with Lynch Syndrome.” BMC Cancer 17 (836). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12885-017-3820-5.